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Greater Manchester Local Election Results 2024 – in graphs

This is how the votes were distributed in the 2024 local elections, and what the councils now look like in terms of seats.

Voices from Greater Manchester

If we add up all the votes from all ten GM municipalities, the votes are distributed as follows:

Labor - 44.26% Conservative - 17.11% Liberal Democrats - 11.32% Green - 10.29% UK Reform - 2.06% UKIP - 0.01% Labor - 2.49% Communist Future - 0. 03% Trade Union and Socialist Coalition - 0.05% Women's Equality Party - 0.07% Women's Party - 0.02% English Democrats - 0.05% Northern Heart - 0.03% National Housing Party - 0.03 % Independent - 12.17%
* UKIP, Communist Future, Trade Unionist & Socialist Coalition, Party of Women, English Democrats, Northern Heart and National Housing Party all scored below 0.1%.

But if we look at the number of seats you would expect based on the proportional votes, this does not correspond to the actual number of seats that the parties obtained. Labor won about 50% more seats than we would expect based on the vote distribution, and they were the only party to benefit disproportionately from our first-past-the-post system. The Conservatives lost out, with 54% fewer seats than expected; as did the Greens with a score of 77% on the number of seats their vote share represented. All the smaller parties, including the Labor Party, had their votes diluted by the larger parties – as we might expect – but all these parties were in just one or two, sometimes a handful, of branches. Some were only in one council area.

The two parties whose votes are shared used to be accurately reflected in the seat distribution were the Liberal Democrats and independent candidates. Based on the math, they got about the right number of seats. But the large number of successful independent candidates is both unusual and part of a trend. You would expect independents to be at a disadvantage in terms of finances, media coverage and influence from the larger political parties – but organized local campaigns have led to success for independents pressuring their council on borough-specific issues. Many of these candidates sought and won re-election following the recent increase in the number of independent councilors across the country.

Party % voting share Expected (%) seats Real chairs
Work 44.26% 96 147
Conservative 17.11% 37 17
Lib Dems 11.32% 25 21
Vegetable 10.29% 22 5
Reform Britain 2.06% 4 0
UKIP 0.01% 0 0
labour party 2.49% 5 3
Communist future 0.03% 0 0
Trade union and socialist coalition 0.05% 0 0
Party for the Equality of Women 0.07% 0 0
Party of Women 0.02% 0 0
English Democrats 0.05% 0 0
Northern Heart 0.03% 0 0
National Housing Party 0.03% 0 0
Independent 12.17% 27 25

Bolton

Bolton stays inside no general control, with a Labor leader. Independents and the Green Party have further eroded the minority Labor government.

Labor - 34.4% Conservative - 19.8% Liberal Democrats - 7.6% Green - 9.1% UK Reform and Bolton for Change - 9.3% UKIP - 0.1% Labor - 1.9% Independent - 17.7%

To bury

Bury Council remains below Labor controlafter increasing their majority by one seat.

Labor - 45.9% Conservative - 26.2% Liberal Democrats - 3.9% Green - 2.7% UK Reform - 1.0% Labor - 3.0% English Democrats - 0.6% Independent - 16, 8%

Manchester

It’s no surprise that Manchester City Council has a Labor council, but smaller parties maintain their opposition numbers. The election of a Workers’ Party candidate, which ousted the deputy leader, was notable and highlights that international issues do matter at local level.

Labor - 54.7% Conservative - 6.2% Liberal Democrats - 10.9% Green - 17.7% Workers' Party - 5.4% Communist Future - 0.1% Trade Union and Socialist Coalition - 0.1% Women's Equality Party - 0.1% Independent - 4.9%

Oldham

Oldham Council stood out no general control of a Labor council before the election, due to the loss of Labor seats to independent candidates. However, the politics of these independent parties may not all be on the same page, so expect a lot of disagreement in council meetings.

Local elections Oldham 2024 Labor vote share - 29.1% Conservative - 13.1% Liberal Democrats - 14.2% Green - 1.7% UK Reform - 1.1% Northern Heart - 0.4% National Housing Party - 0, 3% Independent - 40.1%

Rochdale

Work lost two seats to the Workers’ Party, but still has the most seats. It is perhaps surprising that the Labor Party did not do better here: they had candidates in 13 of the 20 wards.

Rochdale Local Election 2024 Labor vote share - 42.1% Conservative - 18.5% Liberal Democrats - 11.8% Green - 3.0% Labor - 13.4% UK Reform - 1.5% Independent - 9.7%

Salford

Like Manchester, Salford is solid Labor controlled. They won one seat from the Conservatives this election.

Local elections Salford 2024 Labor vote share - 58.3% Conservative - 20.7% Liberal Democrats - 5.6% Green - 12.5% ​​UK Reform - 0.6% Communist Party of Great Britain - 0.1% Trade Unions - and Socialist Coalition - 0.4% Women's Equality Party - 0.5% Independent - 1.2%

Stockport

The Liberal Democrats increased their majority in Stockport at Labour’s expense. Green and independent candidates retained their seats.

Local elections Stockport Vote share 2024 Labor - 31.7% Conservative - 16.7% Liberal Democrats - 34.2% Green - 10.9% UK Reform - 1.4% Women's Equality Party - 0.1% Party of Women - 0.2% Independent - 4.8%

Tameside

Tameside Council was left under Labor control, but lost two seats to independent candidates. No change for the Tories on 7 seats out of 57.

Local elections in Tameside 2024 Labor vote share - 52.1% Conservative - 20.3% Liberal Democrats - 1.5% Green - 17.6% Labor - 0.6% Independent - 8.0%

Trafford

Trafford’s Conservatives’ decline continued, with two more seats lost to the Labor majority. The Lib Dems and Greens maintained their numbers.

Trafford Local Election 2024 Labor vote share - 41.9% Conservative - 25.2% Liberal Democrats - 11.4% Green - 17.8% UK Reform - 2.3% Trade Union and Socialist Coalition - 0.1% Independent - 1.2%

Wigan

Not much changes here. Labor retained its significant hold on the council without changing their seats, but the Conservatives are now left with just one councillor.

Wigan local election 2024 Labor vote share - 51.7% Conservative - 15.1% Liberal Democrats - 2.7% Green - 2.6% UK Reform - 3.2% Labor - 0.2% Independent - 24.4%

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Featured image: Kacy Preen